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Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?" has a probability of 19.0%. Trading volume: $123K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$123K
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$50K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such a…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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