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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

12.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?" has a probability of 12.5%. Trading volume: $82K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$82K
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$21K
Traders
Bid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostil…

Single Platform Data

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