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Cuban regime falls in 2026?

32.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Cuban regime falls in 2026?" has a probability of 32.5%. Trading volume: $140K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 1h ago

Volume

$140K

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$38K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

31.0% / 34.0%

Spread

3.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the P…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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