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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

24.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?" has a probability of 24.5%. Trading volume: $77K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$77K
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$31K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
23.0% / 26.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information f…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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