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Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

30.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 30.5%. Trading volume: $272K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$272K
Volume 24h
$724
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
29.0% / 32.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bomb…

Single Platform Data

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