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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

16.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 16.5%. Trading volume: $408K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$408K
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$18K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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