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Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

18.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?" has a probability of 18.0%. Trading volume: $251K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$251K
Volume 24h
$231
Liquidity
$90K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Mar 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the…

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