OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,058
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
195,389
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
11 questions
Consensus 2+
Where Will 2026 Rank Among The Hottest Years On Record
2026
57%
2026 rank as the sixth-hotte
2%
weather6 candidates +4 more$2.8M+$9K/24h
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
88%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
88%
weatherPolymarket$136K
How Many Tornadoes In The US In 2026
1250 or more tornadoes occur
64%
1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur
31%
1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur
21%
weather8 candidates +5 more$72K+$142/24h
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
62%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
62%
weatherPolymarket$62K
Z
Zq62Uupsqr
> 467424 (2018 total)
66%
> 664403 (1% of land area)
63%
> 744120 (2020 total)
55%
weather3 candidates
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
3%
Manifold
3%
weatherManifold43 traders
W
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
73%
Manifold
73%
weatherManifold17 traders
W
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
8%
Manifold
8%
weatherManifold879 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
6%
Manifold
6%
weatherManifold35 traders
2
2026 US tornado count above 1,400 by December 31, 2026
87%
Manifold
87%
weatherManifold13 traders
W
Will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved before 2030?
7%
Manifold
7%
weatherManifold50 traders
1
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