Where Will 2026 Rank Among The Hottest Years On Record
2026
57%
2026 rank as the sixth-hotte
2%
weather6 candidates +4 more$2.8M+$9K/24h
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
88%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
88%
weatherPolymarket$136K
How Many Tornadoes In The US In 2026
1250 or more tornadoes occur
64%
1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur
31%
1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur
21%
weather8 candidates +5 more$72K+$142/24h
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
62%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
62%
weatherPolymarket$62K
Z
Zq62Uupsqr
> 467424 (2018 total)
69%
> 664403 (1% of land area)
63%
> 744120 (2020 total)
55%
weather3 candidates
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
29%
Manifold
29%
weatherManifold36 traders
W
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
weatherManifold879 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
weatherManifold43 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
30%
Manifold
30%
weatherManifold30 traders
2
2026 US tornado count above 1,400 by December 31, 2026
87%
Manifold
87%
weatherManifold13 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
55%
Manifold
55%
weatherManifold40 traders
W
Will artificial room temperature intelligence exist by 2027? (Fahrenheit)
79%
Manifold
79%
weatherManifold21 traders
W
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
51%
Manifold
51%
weatherManifold13 traders
W
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
80%
Manifold
80%
weatherManifold17 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
31%
Manifold
31%
weatherManifold33 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
36%
Manifold
36%
weatherManifold25 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
21%
Manifold
21%
weatherManifold42 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
5%
Manifold
5%
weatherManifold22 traders
W
Will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved before 2030?
8%
Manifold
8%
weatherManifold50 traders
W
Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
65%
Manifold
65%
weatherManifold19 traders