Where Will 2026 Rank Among The Hottest Years On Record
2026
57%
2026 rank as the sixth-hotte
2%
weather6 candidates +4 more$2.8M+$9K/24h
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
88%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
88%
weatherPolymarket$136K
How Many Tornadoes In The US In 2026
1250 or more tornadoes occur
64%
1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur
31%
1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur
21%
weather8 candidates +5 more$72K+$142/24h
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
29%
Manifold
29%
weatherManifold29 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
22%
Manifold
22%
weatherManifold47 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?
14%
Manifold
14%
weatherManifold38 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
10%
Manifold
10%
weatherManifold35 traders
W
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
27%
Manifold
27%
weatherManifold33 traders
W
Will we find a superconductor working at temperature above -100 °C at room pressure? — Before 2030
12%
Manifold
12%
weatherManifold24 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
19%
Manifold
19%
weatherManifold31 traders
W
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
94%
Manifold
94%
weatherManifold17 traders
W
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
65%
Manifold
65%
weatherManifold13 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
3%
Manifold
3%
weatherManifold43 traders
W
Will we find a superconductor working at temperature above -100 °C at room pressure? — Before 2034
21%
Manifold
21%
weatherManifold24 traders
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before year X? — X = 2034
12%
Manifold
12%
weatherManifold24 traders
W
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
83%
Manifold
83%
weatherManifold12 traders
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before year X? — X = 2032
12%
Manifold
12%
weatherManifold24 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
23%
Manifold
23%
weatherManifold26 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
27%
Manifold
27%
weatherManifold42 traders
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before year X? — X = 2031
12%
Manifold
12%
weatherManifold24 traders