OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
279,815
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
25 questions
Consensus 2+
Where Will 2026 Rank Among The Hottest Years On Record
2026
57%
2026 rank as the sixth-hotte
2%
weather6 candidates +4 more$2.8M+$9K/24h
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
88%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
88%
weatherPolymarket$136K
How Many Tornadoes In The US In 2026
1250 or more tornadoes occur
64%
1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur
31%
1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur
21%
weather8 candidates +5 more$72K+$142/24h
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
62%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
62%
weatherPolymarket$62K
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
6%
Manifold
6%
weatherManifold22 traders
W
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
51%
Manifold
51%
weatherManifold13 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
30%
Manifold
30%
weatherManifold42 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
36%
Manifold
36%
weatherManifold25 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
18%
Manifold
18%
weatherManifold31 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
31%
Manifold
31%
weatherManifold29 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2030?
13%
Manifold
13%
weatherManifold28 traders
W
Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
65%
Manifold
65%
weatherManifold19 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
34%
Manifold
34%
weatherManifold35 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
35%
Manifold
35%
weatherManifold30 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
27%
Manifold
27%
weatherManifold26 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
37%
Manifold
37%
weatherManifold36 traders
W
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
85%
Manifold
85%
weatherManifold17 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
26%
Manifold
26%
weatherManifold47 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?
19%
Manifold
19%
weatherManifold38 traders
W
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
38%
Manifold
38%
weatherManifold33 traders
12
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