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Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

79.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?" has a probability of 79.5%. Trading volume: $114K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 9h ago
Volume
$114K
Volume 24h
$991
Liquidity
$5K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
79.0% / 80.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2027
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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