OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,010
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
161 questions
Consensus 2+
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
Which Cities Will Russia Enter By June
Russia enter Dopropillia by
8%
Russia enter Druzkhivka by J
6%
Russia enter Sloviansk by Ju
4%
geopolitics8 candidates +5 more$1.2M+$24K/24h
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.1M
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
12%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.1M
Iran leadership change by June 30?
14%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.1M
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
1%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
1%
geopoliticsPolymarket$992K
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$985K
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
3%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$959K
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
5%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$908K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$708K
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
16%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$626K
Iran Nuke before 2027?
9%
— 0pp
Polymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$602K
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
4%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$576K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$571K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
18%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$561K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
26%
Polymarket
26%
geopoliticsPolymarket$549K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
33%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
33%
geopoliticsPolymarket$549K
How Many Different Countries Will The US Strike In 2026
US strike 7 countries in 202
39%
US strike 8 countries in 202
34%
US strike 9 countries in 202
13%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more$545K+$13/24h
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$464K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
19%
Polymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$459K
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