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Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

4.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?" has a probability of 4.8%. Trading volume: $485K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$485K
Volume 24h
$156
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.7% / 4.9%
Spread
0.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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