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Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Iran coup attempt by June 30?" has a probability of 13.5%. Trading volume: $375K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 1h ago

Volume

$375K

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$53K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

13.0% / 14.0%

Spread

1.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jun 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, se…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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