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Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4.3%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?" has a probability of 4.3%. Trading volume: $660K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$660K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$75K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.1% / 4.6%
Spread
0.5%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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