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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

17.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?" has a probability of 17.5%. Trading volume: $544K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$544K
Volume 24h
$358
Liquidity
$32K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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