Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
2%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$150K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
28%
Polymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$148K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
38%
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$143K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$131K
W
Will the US and Iran announce a ceasefire agreement by March 25, 2026?
85%
Context
85%
geopoliticsContext$128K
China coup attempt before 2027?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$128K
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
geopoliticsPolymarket$125K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
4%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$123K
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$121K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$112K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
40%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
40%
geopoliticsPolymarket$108K
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
19%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$99K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$98K
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$96K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
10%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$96K
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
20%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$94K
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$91K
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
3%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$84K
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
11%
Polymarket
11%
geopoliticsPolymarket$78K