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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

45.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 45.5%. Trading volume: $125K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$125K
Volume 24h
$118
Liquidity
$17K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
44.0% / 47.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595° N, 37.805666° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW …

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