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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

38.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 38.0%. Trading volume: $60K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$60K
Volume 24h
$761
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
34.0% / 42.0%
Spread
8.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shad…

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