OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
412 questions
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
15%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
15%
geopoliticsPolymarket$109K
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$105K
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
geopoliticsPolymarket$105K
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
20%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$102K
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$101K
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
55%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
55%
geopoliticsPolymarket$98K
Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
geopolitics2 candidates $96K+$2K/24h
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
6%
— 0pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$93K
Bank Of Russia Decision In April
Bank of Russia decrease the
91%
Bank of Russia make no chang
9%
Bank of Russia increase the
1%
geopolitics3 candidates $88K+$10K/24h
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
4%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$88K
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
4%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$88K
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$87K
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
17%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
17%
geopoliticsPolymarket$86K
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
21%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
12%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
36%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$84K
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?
97%
↑ 10pp
Polymarket
97%
geopoliticsPolymarket$82K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
12%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$82K
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