OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
161 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
16%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$7K
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
11%
Polymarket
11%
geopoliticsPolymarket$7K
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
18%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$7K
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
18%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$6K
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$6K
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$6K
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
6%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$6K
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
25%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
25%
geopoliticsPolymarket$5K
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
14%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$5K
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
12%
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$5K
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
40%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
40%
geopoliticsPolymarket$5K
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
14%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$4K
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?
14%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$4K
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
38%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$4K
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
10%
↓ 20pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$3K
Ln6Hqlp2Lz
>2028
87%
Q2 2026
6%
Q3 2026
1%
geopolitics23 candidates +20 more
L
Lntqy6Lq0N
Regular opposition broadcast
66%
A brigade or base commander
31%
Interim council fractures, o
27%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
Lufhod2Usrgclj9T3Zia
Other
19%
AIs will not have utility fu
15%
Humanity coordinates to prev
12%
geopolitics2 candidates
N
N0Tunn09Ss
A (phased) lifting of specif
88%
Opening of navigation in the
66%
An end to Israeli strikes in
62%
geopolitics3 candidates
N
Ndsss9Rtcy
Unyielding Islamic Regime
51%
Deal with minimal concession
26%
Military coup (Artesh)
7%
geopolitics3 candidates
56789
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