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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
170 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
5%
Manifold
5%
geopoliticsManifold56 traders
W
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
geopoliticsManifold26 traders
W
Will Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?
8%
Manifold
8%
geopoliticsManifold41 traders
W
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
16%
Manifold
16%
geopoliticsManifold45 traders
I
Israel enters into a new war in 2026?
48%
Manifold
48%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
W
Will Spain lose any territory before 01/01/2030? (Either land or territorial waters)
17%
Manifold
17%
geopoliticsManifold11 traders
W
Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?
3%
Manifold
3%
geopoliticsManifold72 traders
W
Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?
11%
Manifold
11%
geopoliticsManifold39 traders
W
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
geopoliticsManifold77 traders
W
Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?
77%
Manifold
77%
geopoliticsManifold42 traders
←789
Odds Raven

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