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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
248,088
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
169 questions
Consensus 2+
W
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
32%
Manifold
32%
geopoliticsManifold33 traders
I
If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
28%
Manifold
28%
geopoliticsManifold27 traders
W
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
55%
Manifold
55%
geopoliticsManifold245 traders
W
Will there be a civil war with at least 1,000 deaths in Venezuela in 2026?
7%
Manifold
7%
geopoliticsManifold12 traders
W
When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro? — before 31 December 2026 (ET)
29%
Manifold
29%
geopoliticsManifold32 traders
R
Russia attacks NATO by 2030?
43%
Manifold
43%
geopoliticsManifold28 traders
W
Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
77%
Manifold
77%
geopoliticsManifold20 traders
A
Alien invasion before GTA6?
3%
Manifold
3%
geopoliticsManifold14 traders
W
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
15%
Manifold
15%
geopoliticsManifold53 traders
←789
Odds Raven

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