C
Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
7%
Manifold
7%
geopoliticsManifold60 traders
W
Will Switzerland vote to allow usage of nuclear energy again?
85%
Manifold
85%
geopoliticsManifold33 traders
W
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
27%
Manifold
27%
geopoliticsManifold89 traders
W
Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
74%
Manifold
74%
geopoliticsManifold34 traders
I
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
32%
Manifold
32%
geopoliticsManifold20 traders
W
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
geopoliticsManifold109 traders
W
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
10%
Manifold
10%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
W
Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
62%
Manifold
62%
geopoliticsManifold20 traders
W
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
30%
Manifold
30%
geopoliticsManifold87 traders
W
Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026?
11%
Manifold
11%
geopoliticsManifold15 traders
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? — Before 2029-01-01
67%
Manifold
67%
geopoliticsManifold189 traders
W
Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2028?
8%
Manifold
8%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
W
Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
12%
Manifold
12%
geopoliticsManifold21 traders
W
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
20%
Manifold
20%
geopoliticsManifold44 traders
W
Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
geopoliticsManifold15 traders
W
Will the USA go in a civil war before 2030
14%
Manifold
14%
geopoliticsManifold18 traders
W
Will America send troops to Iran?
28%
Manifold
28%
geopoliticsManifold89 traders
W
When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub) — 2029
19%
Manifold
19%
geopoliticsManifold240 traders
W
Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?
4%
Manifold
4%
geopoliticsManifold37 traders
R
Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
46%
Manifold
46%
geopoliticsManifold32 traders