OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
170 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
38%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$4K
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2K
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
72%
↑ 15pp
Polymarket
72%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2K
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
34%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
34%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1K
9Ci8Izs0Dh
China launches military dril
92%
Warnings from Western intell
86%
China engages in a partial/t
84%
geopolitics109 candidates +106 more
A
A6Iqtdc9H8
Anthropic or Meta release a
94%
noam chomsky alive until end
93%
at least 3 xkcd comics with
86%
geopolitics2 candidates
Al280S3N6Q7Xcfttf6Tv
other
38%
Bio-Risk
31%
Drones
8%
geopolitics2 candidates
Aofvjlgtmkmsc3Hhviwd
Covid
98%
Russia-Ukraine War
97%
Brexit
88%
geopolitics3 candidates
C0Vo8Dvmobebe3E4E4Os
Jews control at least one na
91%
P320 pistol has a design fla
90%
Orgies by the fucked-up poor
87%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more
C
Cgrohxybutrerhnrxki5
Gunplay
98%
Bond drives a car
97%
Bond will be a man
97%
geopolitics2 candidates
C
Coqn9Scrrh
There is a trial at the ICC
62%
Salva Kiir is re-elected Pre
50%
A figure in the Epstein file
39%
geopolitics2 candidates
D
Dfifpffh23Bfgtp1Mueh
Never
33%
Before end of 2033
29%
Before end of 2029
21%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
Dj31Ane7Bh11Edgytt8C
Will Putin be in power 2028
82%
Will Zelensky be in power 20
50%
Will a successful coup happe
10%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
Ey0V3Plvhdfoqjwffsim
None of these choices are co
48%
2027
26%
2026
15%
geopolitics6 candidates +3 more
H
H8Sc6Lpz20
US and Iran resume attacks o
81%
US and Iran sign another for
59%
Shadow-Peace (neither side w
56%
geopolitics2 candidates
H
Hc9606Sc9Y
Oil blockade, regime stays
94%
Oil blockade, regime changes
4%
No oil blockade, regime chan
1%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
Ilqaayg2Ou
Russia
25%
Israel
17%
Iran
14%
geopolitics11 candidates +8 more
Ixfz6059Uit8Oa479Iej
President with Green Eyes el
78%
Crewed mission to Phobos
78%
USA adds 52nd state
76%
geopolitics2 candidates
L
Lntqy6Lq0N
Regular opposition broadcast
71%
One or more Town(s), city(s
38%
Interim council fractures, o
33%
geopolitics5 candidates +2 more
Lufhod2Usrgclj9T3Zia
Other
21%
Humanity coordinates to prev
13%
Alignment is not properly so
9%
geopolitics2 candidates
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