OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
248,088
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
165 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
38%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$4K
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2K
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?
70%
↑ 28pp
Polymarket
70%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2K
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
72%
↑ 15pp
Polymarket
72%
geopoliticsPolymarket$2K
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
21%
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1K
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
34%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
34%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1K
6
6Sp5Lr0Pa6
No
99%
Yes
1%
geopolitics2 candidates
9
985Sepyhzy
Houthis
52%
Hezbollah
52%
Yemen
44%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
9Ci8Izs0Dh
China launches military dril
92%
Warnings from Western intell
86%
China engages in a partial/t
84%
geopolitics109 candidates +106 more
9
9Doq5Uoo22
No strikes, regime stays
95%
No strikes, regime falls
5%
geopolitics2 candidates
Al280S3N6Q7Xcfttf6Tv
other
38%
Bio-Risk
30%
Drones
9%
geopolitics2 candidates
Aofvjlgtmkmsc3Hhviwd
Covid
98%
Russia-Ukraine War
97%
Brexit
88%
geopolitics3 candidates
A
Aq5Hcudcz2
Russia deliberately violated
91%
Russian drones entered Polis
3%
Russian drones were diverted
2%
geopolitics3 candidates
Aznzrirodwibbpqhdptc
No nuke Ukraine, No coup suc
93%
Yes nuke Ukraine, No coup su
7%
No nuke Ukraine, Yes coup su
0%
geopolitics3 candidates
C0Vo8Dvmobebe3E4E4Os
Jews control at least one na
91%
P320 pistol has a design fla
90%
Orgies by the fucked-up poor
88%
geopolitics9 candidates +6 more
C
Coqn9Scrrh
There is a trial at the ICC
62%
leader of a country will die
52%
A figure in the Epstein file
40%
geopolitics2 candidates
Dj31Ane7Bh11Edgytt8C
Will Putin be in power 2028
78%
Will Zelensky be in power 20
47%
Will there be a generally ac
12%
geopolitics4 candidates +1 more
E
Eu2C8Zoac6
Direct commercial flights to
58%
Central Bank interest rate (
51%
Partial mobilization formall
42%
geopolitics10 candidates +7 more
E
Eupcp5Tsen
WW2 participant
50%
Civil War participant
50%
Medieval Villager
50%
geopolitics2 candidates
Ey0V3Plvhdfoqjwffsim
None of these choices are co
47%
2027
27%
2026
15%
geopolitics6 candidates +3 more
34567
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