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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

20.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?" has a probability of 20.5%. Trading volume: $102K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$102K
Volume 24h
$768
Liquidity
$31K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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