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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

5.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?" has a probability of 5.1%. Trading volume: $85K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$85K
Volume 24h
$456
Liquidity
$12K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.9% / 5.2%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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