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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

19.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? " has a probability of 19.5%. Trading volume: $80K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$80K
Volume 24h
$245
Liquidity
$17K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement o…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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