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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

30.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?" has a probability of 30.0%. Trading volume: $72K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$72K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$12K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
25.0% / 35.0%
Spread
10.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongo…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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