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China coup attempt before 2027?

5.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "China coup attempt before 2027?" has a probability of 5.0%. Trading volume: $114K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$114K
Volume 24h
$793
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.9% / 5.1%
Spread
0.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by milit…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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