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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

3.9%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 3.9%. Trading volume: $76K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$76K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$56K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
3.7% / 4.1%
Spread
0.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shad…

Single Platform Data

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