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NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

10.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 10.2%. Trading volume: $277K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$277K
Volume 24h
$37K
Liquidity
$66K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
10.0% / 10.3%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 12, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involvin…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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