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Will Venezuela become 51st state?

4.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Venezuela become 51st state?" has a probability of 4.2%. Trading volume: $128K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$128K
Volume 24h
$10
Liquidity
$54K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.0% / 4.4%
Spread
0.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is ann…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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