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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

57.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?" has a probability of 57.5%. Trading volume: $560K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 30m ago
Volume
$560K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$59K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
57.0% / 58.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market wi…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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