Who Will Be The Next Prime Minister Of Israel After The Next Election
EVENT
Benjamin Netanyahu
43%
Gadi Eizenkot
25%
Naftali Bennett
22%
politics17 candidates +14 more$4.4M+$107K/24h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44%
↓ 1ppGemini
42%
Manifold
50%
Polymarket
40%
politics3 sources$4.4M10pp gap
Next UK Prime Minister In 2026
EVENT
no next Prime Minister of th
50%
Angela Rayner
21%
Ed Miliband
4%
politics20 candidates +17 more$4.4M+$37K/24h
Which Party Will Win The House In 2026
EVENT
Democratic Party control the
86%
Republican Party control the
12%
politics2 candidates $4.4M+$66K/24h
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
3%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
2%
politics4 sources$4.2M2pp gap
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
44%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
44%
politicsPolymarket$4.1M
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36%
↑ 1ppGemini
40%
Manifold
30%
Polymarket
38%
politics3 sources$3.9M10pp gap
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.9M5pp gap
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$3.8M2pp gap
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%
Manifold
7%
Polymarket
10%
other2 sources$3.6M4pp gap
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
12%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$3.4M
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Gemini
6%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.4M2pp gap
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.3M3pp gap
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
EVENT
Choo Mi-ae
93%
Yoo Seong-min
3%
Han Jun-ho
0%
politics14 candidates +11 more$3.1M+$14K/24h
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
56%
↓ 1ppManifold
38%
Gemini
85%
Polymarket
36%
politics3 sources$3.1M48pp gap
Brazil Presidential Election First Round 2Nd Place
EVENT
Flávio Bolsonaro finish in s
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva fi
14%
Fernando Haddad finish in se
8%
politics15 candidates +12 more$2.8M+$19K/24h
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
30%
↓ 2ppGemini
36%
Polymarket
25%
politics2 sources$2.7M11pp gap
Berlin State Election Winner
EVENT
CDU
56%
Linke
12%
AfD
11%
politics8 candidates +5 more$2.6M+$409/24h
Trump out as President by June 30?
6%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$2.5M
Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
EVENT
Park Chan-dae
92%
Yoo Jeong-bok
4%
Yoo Dong-soo
1%
politics9 candidates +6 more$2.5M+$6K/24h