Home › Politics › Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

56.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" has a probability of 56.5%. Trading volume: $484K.

View on Polymarket →

Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 2h ago

Volume

$484K

Volume 24h

$340

Liquidity

$35K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

55.0% / 58.0%

Spread

3.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jef…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product

Home Consensus 2+Multi-Outcome Changelog

Learn

About Methodology FAQ API

Legal

Privacy Terms Contact