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Blue tsunami in 2026?

52.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Blue tsunami in 2026?" has a probability of 52.5%. Trading volume: $23K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 4h ago

Volume

$23K

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$17K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

50.0% / 55.0%

Spread

5.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Nov 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market wil…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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