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Blue wave in 2026?

88.0%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Blue wave in 2026?" has a probability of 88.0%. Trading volume: $31K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 5h ago

Volume

$31K

Volume 24h

—

Liquidity

$12K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

87.0% / 89.0%

Spread

2.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Nov 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market wil…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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