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By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

63.8%
Probability on Manifold Markets

On Manifold Markets, "By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?" has a probability of 63.8%.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Manifold Markets
Updated 2h ago
Volume
Volume 24h
Liquidity
Traders
253 traders
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
May 2026
Resolves
Jan 2029

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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