On Manifold Markets, "🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (13/100 DONE) — Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft or Amazon announces a new CEO (after 2026)" has a probability of 50.5%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.