On Manifold Markets, "How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be? — Above normal (115 < ACE < 318.1)" has a probability of 51.8%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.