If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? — "Corrigibility" is a bit more mathematically straightforward than was initially presumed, in the sense that we can expect it to occur, and is relatively easy to predict, even under less-than-ideal conditions.

On Manifold Markets, "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? — "Corrigibility" is a bit more mathematically straightforward than was initially presumed, in the sense that we can expect it to occur, and is relatively easy to predict, even under less-than-ideal conditions." has a probability of 0.7%.