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Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

24.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?" has a probability of 24.0%. Trading volume: $124K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 58m ago
Volume
$124K
Volume 24h
$705
Liquidity
$16K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrect…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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