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Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

8.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?" has a probability of 8.5%. Trading volume: $67K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 58m ago
Volume
$67K
Volume 24h
$176
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection …

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This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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