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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

13.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 13.2%. Trading volume: $158K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$158K
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$25K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
13.1% / 13.4%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” reso…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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