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Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?

2.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?" has a probability of 2.1%. Trading volume: $106K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$106K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$15K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.5% / 2.8%
Spread
1.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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