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Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

8.3%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?" has a probability of 8.3%. Trading volume: $148K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 36m ago
Volume
$148K
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$21K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.1% / 9.5%
Spread
2.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualif…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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