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Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

35.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 35.5%. Trading volume: $423K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 33m ago
Volume
$423K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$27K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
35.0% / 36.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualif…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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