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Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

37.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?" has a probability of 37.0%. Trading volume: $316K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$316K
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
36.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official m…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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