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Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?

4.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 4.6%. Trading volume: $88K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$88K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.0% / 5.2%
Spread
1.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operatio…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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