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Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

12.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?" has a probability of 12.2%. Trading volume: $54K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$54K
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
11.4% / 12.9%
Spread
1.5%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into ph…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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