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Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

99.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?" has a probability of 99.8%. Trading volume: $211K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$211K
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
99.7% / 99.8%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is di…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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