HomePolitics › Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

2.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Macron out by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 2.5%. Trading volume: $308K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$308K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$89K
Traders
Bid / Ask
2.4% / 2.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date,…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology